Implementation of Short- and Medium-Term Earthquake Forecasts
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Short- and Long-Term Earthquake Forecasts for California and Nevada
We present estimates of future earthquake rate density (probability per unit area, time, and magnitude) on a 0.1degree grid for a region including California and Nevada, based only on data from past earthquakes. Our long-term forecast is not explicitly time-dependent, but it can be updated at any time to incorporate information from recent earthquakes. The present version, founded on several de...
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متن کاملStatistical short-term earthquake prediction.
A statistical procedure, derived from a theoretical model of fracture growth, is used to identify a foreshock sequence while it is in progress. As a predictor, the procedure reduces the average uncertainty in the rate of occurrence for a future strong earthquake by a factor of more than 1000 when compared with the Poisson rate of occurrence. About one-third of all main shocks with local magnitu...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: International Journal of Geophysics
سال: 2012
ISSN: 1687-885X,1687-8868
DOI: 10.1155/2012/217923